Are Entrepreneurs Gamblers?

I often get asked the question, “Are entrepreneurs gamblers”?  I think how you answer this question has everything to do with how you define “entrepreneur” and how you define “gambler,” so let’s start there.

For me, an entrepreneur is someone who starts a business with the intention of growing it, in order to make a profit.  Further, an entrepreneur takes pleasure in creating something that previously didn’t exist and growing it into something that “matters”.  Clearly, it is possible to be “entrepreneurial” in non-profit organizations and in for-profit organizations that already existed before you showed up – there are various types of entrepreneurship.  The simplest definition of an entrepreneur is “someone who looks for business opportunities and invests time, money and/or other resources to take advantage of those opportunities”.  You most often hear the word “entrepreneur” used in the case of startup businesses, but that is not the only scenario where the term is applicable.

Now, a “gambler,” for me, is someone who places bets, hoping to win by chance, usually against the odds.  There are various types of gambling, not all of which happen in a casino, but even within a casino, there are many different forms of gambling.  If we look at a casino as the place we most often find “true gamblers,” we quickly realize that, usually at least, when they’re playing against the house (the casino), in such games as blackjack, craps, roulette, etc, they have to get quite lucky to win on any particular occasion.  Further, if instead we look not at a specific occasion, but over a period of time and several occasions, unless they are cheating or exploiting some other advantage that is against casino rules, their probability of winning is almost zero.  The games were created that way, by the casinos.  No wonder the odds are stacked in favor of the house.

Ok, so back to the question:  Are entrepreneurs gamblers?  Based on the definitions I laid out above, I think you’d have to say, no, entrepreneurs are not gamblers.  Entrepreneurs may count on luck just as gamblers do, but I don’t think we can say that over time entrepreneurs’ probability of succeeding is almost zero, as it is for gamblers as defined above.

So if entrepreneurs are not gamblers, what are they?  They are risk takers.  To be more specific, good entrepreneurs are calculated risk takers.  They see an opportunity and like gamblers, they place a bet.  They bet their capital, their time, and other resources that they will be able to exploit the identified opportunity and create a successful business based on it.  They do depend on luck to some extent, but if they are experienced and/or have good partners and advisors, they know how to “stack the deck” in their favor, so that they don’t have to depend on luck so much.  I guess if you wanted to compare them to gamblers, you could compare them to those gamblers I mentioned above who use “card counting” or other techniques that go against the house rules.  They do not enter the game, or in the case of entrepreneurs, the venture, without some advantage or set of advantages that they, and their investors if they have any, believe will allow them to succeed in that particular business.

Frankly, I don’t really like hearing entrepreneurs compared to gamblers, at least not given the definitions I provided above.  I don’t think such a comparison does the entrepreneur, at least not the “good” entrepreneur, justice, as it has too many connotations of “shooting from the hip” and just hoping to get lucky.

As one of my close entrepreneur friends says, “without risk, there is no reward”.  It is inevitable that anyone who dares to initiate anything, including a new business venture, is taking a risk.  They are “risk-takers,” by definition.  They’re not “gamblers” though, at least not per my definition of the word.

If you are just starting on the entrepreneurial path, or even if you’ve been on it for a while, make sure you’re a “good” entrepreneur – a calculated risk taker, not a gambler.

P.S. You may have seen me compare entrepreneurship to a poker tournament elsewhere.  This is because poker is not a game you play against the house.  It is played against other players.  It is still a form of gambling, but not the type of gambling I referenced above.  While it absolutely does involve some luck, it also involves strategy and allows you to be more of a “calculated risk taker” than games against the house.

I look forward to your thoughts and comments.  Please leave a comment below or in the top right corner of this post.

Paul Morin

paul@companyfounder.com

www.companyfounder.com

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Don’t Fear Making Mistakes

Don’t fear making mistakes; fear not making enough of them. Let’s consider two scenarios: 1.) The person who hardly ever makes mistakes; 2.) The person who makes A LOT of mistakes, but is careful to learn from them each time. Who do you think will accomplish more in their chosen endeavor (and in life in general)?

In my experience, chances are very high that the person who is willing to make mistakes, but also very careful to learn from each one, is likely to accomplish significantly more than the person who is not willing to make mistakes. Let’s look at a simple scenario to understand why this is so.

Let’s say you are an entrepreneur and you are launching a new product. As a good entrepreneur, you have developed the product because you saw an unmet need in the market and validated your perception by talking to potential buyers and even receiving substantial orders in advance of the release. In fact, the pre-launch orders were so substantial that you decide, for the time-being at least, not to seek other channels of distribution or pursue other potential customers for your new product. You feel comfortable with the $2,000,000 million in first year sales due to pre-launch orders and don’t want to risk going after other potential markets/customers that are not a “sure thing”. In other words, you’d prefer not to make a mistake and decide you are satisfied with the results of your initial foray.

Across town is another entrepreneur, a competitor of yours, in fact, who has developed a similar product. It only does about 80% of what your product does, but that competitor is confident that it is the “80% that matters” and that it will not limit the ultimate success of the product. Because the product does not have all the bells and whistles that yours does, your competitor only achieves $500,000 of pre-launch sales. Not satisfied with this, your competitor aggressively begins to explore alternative markets, uses, and distribution channels for the product. At first she finds little success, spending several months with very little to show for her incessant efforts. In the fourth month post-launch the competitor hits “pay-dirt” and strikes a relationship with a then little-known (in America, at least) Asian distributor of similar products. The relationship yields first year sales of $4.25 million, with strong profit margins, despite the distribution cost, as it turns out the Japanese demand is through the roof, permitting higher prices. The exchange rate also helps your competitor out.

So, in the end, your competitor achieves more than double your first year sales on a similar, competing product. What happened here? First, your competitor was not content with the pre-launch sales achieved, whereas you were. Second, for a wide variety of reasons, potentially including having a strong enough level of self-confidence to not be daunted by the prospect of encountering a bunch of “failure” before success, your competitor pressed on in looking for alternative markets and sales channels. Finally, your competitor viewed every “mistake” as an opportunity to learn and a step in the direction of their ultimate goal of maximizing sales and profitability of the newly launched product.

This situation repeats itself endlessly in the business world and in all other endeavors. Certain “players” become content with their achievements very quickly, long before achieving their ultimate potential. They become comfortable. They become afraid to make mistakes. Their ego is not strong enough to take any hits. They like their position as it is and they like the recognition they are receiving, so they don’t want to risk making mistakes and damaging their self-perception and the positive opinion others may have of them.

On the other hand, there are players who experiment endlessly, enjoying their successes, learning from their “failures,” but never completely content that they have achieved all that they can. They see mistakes and “failures” as opportunities to learn, not as a hit to their sense of self-worth. They learn to make as many mistakes as possible, as quickly as possible, so they can achieve their goals more rapidly and not stagnate. They understand the importance of making incremental progress and make smaller mistakes where possible — mistakes that will not “kill the company”. They’re not indiscriminate risk-takers betting the farm at every chance they get. Rather, they take a constant series of incremental risks, in order to learn, gaining whatever insights they can from each mistake, and then moving on. They do not dwell on mistakes.

Do you fear making mistakes, or do you see them as an opportunity to advance toward your ultimate objective(s)?

I look forward to your thoughts and comments.

Paul Morin
paul@CompanyFounder.com
www.CompanyFounder.com

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If you are presented with opportunities that seem to violate the well-known risk/reward tradeoff, be very suspicious.  The old adage, “if it seems too good to be true, it probably is,” is what I’m getting at here.  Very rarely in my experience or observation, has something that seemed too good to be true been for real, especially where it relates to the relationship between risk and reward.  Be especially weary if you are promised an easy road to riches, in any form – as far as I can tell, the reality is that such a simple road does not exist.  Sure, you can play the lottery, but that’s not growing a venture, that’s not being an entrepreneur – that’s gambling with the odds very much stacked against you.  Don’t be tempted. Realize that you must work hard for your success.  If luck comes your way, be thankful, but don’t expect it or count on it.  If you’re expecting a reward, you will encounter risk – that’s unavoidable.  Just make sure the balance makes sense. And don’t bet the farm; realize that it’s going to be a grind, and be willing to put in the work as an entrepreneur, or find another way to make a living.

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